So, no coalition – no ministers, this is what Prosperous Armenia has decided for itself.

When I say Prosperous Armenia – naturally I mean Gagik Tsarukyan, as it’s a “one man show” party. There is no collegial decision making in Prosperous Armenia. As well as in HHK (Serj Sargsyan show) and Congress (Levon Ter-Petrosyan show).

Skipping coalition, Prosperous Armenia gives up numerous ministerial and deputy minister portfolios, tons of other high level positions.

Prosperous Armenia most probably thinks to join other forces in upcoming presidential elections in 2013 and offer alternative candidate. Who can this be? Options are as follows:

1. Gagik Tsarukyan
2. Levon Ter-Petrosyan
3. Raffi Hovhannisyan
4. Gurgen Arsenyan
5. Robert Kocharyan
6. Vardan Oskanyan
7. Mr/Mrs. X

What are the positives and negatives of this?

Positive is, the ruling Republican party should work hard to combat other competitors in 2013 presidential elections. When I say work hard, it means change, progress, develop, work for the good of voters. It they don’t do that – there is a risk they will lose it. This hard work should, logically, bring some positive changes.

Another positive is, Republicans now are fully responsible for the situation. They have all the cards to play. They never escaped responsibility though, but today they are the only ones to blame if anything is wrong. (plus OEK, as usual).

Negatives are, Prosperous Armenia and partners naively believe they can win next year’s presidential elections.

Another negative is, Prosperous Armenia and partners have no decent candidate to combat current president. However, from the options above, Arsenyan can well be an option to bet on. But Tsarukyan and Ter-Petrosyan will never give up their positions and ambitions for any third party.

And the final negative is, PA and partners naively think they can beat the Republican majority in the Parliament if they have their president.

Let’s see how it develops further.